← Back to context

Comment by pyrale

5 days ago

> As of today it's not enough to have positive net return, but to have a LCOE of maybe $60/MWh

If you don't count externalities (see cost of firming intermitency [1]).

> (and going down).

Not the last two years according to LCOE+ 2024. the main culprit is inflation, but the curve was nearing flat anyway.

[1]: https://www.lazard.com/media/gjyffoqd/lazards-lcoeplus-june-...

When I go to https://model.energy/ and solve for the cost of energy from renewables + storage in the US, using 2030 cost assumptions, the cost is less than $0.05/kWh. This is providing synthetic 24/7/365 baseload power, so all intermittency has been taken care of.

  • Problem solved then?

    We should give the folks at model.energy the next peace prize for their effort.

    • You don't have to go that far, but you could at least listen honestly to what that model, and what more complex models, are telling you.

      1 reply →