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Comment by pfdietz

4 days ago

When I go to https://model.energy/ and solve for the cost of energy from renewables + storage in the US, using 2030 cost assumptions, the cost is less than $0.05/kWh. This is providing synthetic 24/7/365 baseload power, so all intermittency has been taken care of.

Problem solved then?

We should give the folks at model.energy the next peace prize for their effort.

  • You don't have to go that far, but you could at least listen honestly to what that model, and what more complex models, are telling you.

    • You're answering to a post I made saying that prices that were quoted from the Lazard report don't reflect all that's writen in the report.

      Your answer gives a model unrelated to the figures I was discussing, with extremely agressive prices [1] set as hypotheses and zero network costs factored in. Sure, I can accept it as a minimum limit for the cost of a system, but that's not a very useful information, and you're not quoting this price as a lower limit either.

      I don't see an honesty issue here, just someone believing that spherical cows are going to produce milk tomorrow.

      [1]: e.g. the Lazard report quotes utility PV at $29-92/MWh, while your tool quotes it at 21.7€/MWh.