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Comment by pdabbadabba

5 days ago

Point taken, of course. But the fact that emerging technologies (or technologies that people wish would emerge) are often overhyped is not exactly an argument that "commercially viable fusion electricity still remains a looooong way off."

And, FWIW, I think it's far from clear at this point that progress towards AGI has been overhyped. It's true that we're not there yet, but how many serious people were actually predicting we'd get there in early 2025? If anything, that one seems like it could be coming up on us faster that many had expected. But, of course, nobody really knows — certainly not me.

Actually...same with FSD, now that I'm thinking about your comment a bit more critically. There are a few people out there who keep selling a snake-oil version of the technology. But, if you tune them out, my sense is that we've actually made pretty substantial progress on that problem too. After all, there are cities in the U.S. today where you can get picked up in a driverless taxi!