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Comment by roenxi

2 days ago

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Unless you were in the courtroom and heard the evidence, you don't have enough information to have an opinion. The jury heard the evidence, and made their determination.

  • Trump just won a major election. If there was evidence he did something improper people really should bring it up instead of vague claims that he did something, but we don't need to look too closely. Saying there is evidence but only these 12 people need to see it isn't really meeting the necessary standard. What is the evidence here? It looks like 3 friends agree that something happened around 30 years ago and they should now be paid millions of dollars.

    That, and I'm being blunt here, isn't plausible enough to take seriously. I can point at people who think Trump is a fascist who must be stopped at all costs; he's even been the subject of 2 assassination attempts. The idea that 3 people might make a false change is just too plausible. Particularly in New York. A lot of the lawfare that has been unreasonably targeting Trump is happening there.

    And if anyone ever accuses me of assaulting them, just saying, I feel a reasonable expectation is that they work out what year it happened.

My experience is that for anyone sufficiently famous and polarizing, there are widespread false allegations. It's hard work to work from primary sources and sort fact from fiction.

It's impractical to check everything, do I tend to do deep dives spot checking a small number of things.

For readers, I'd suggest the same thing here. Disregard claims on the Internet, or even court rulings, and just look at primary evidence. Pick a small number of issues.

I make this statement generically, without prejudice to the outcome here.

  • My impression is that any allegation is considered false unless at least 19 women came forward and 3 of them have video evidence.

  • > Pick a small number of issues.

    I'm not sure what you mean. I generally agree with you — but I think in the case of Trump you have to disregard at least 26 [1] public allegations of rape if you want to give him a pass, blame his fame, or partisanship, or whatever.

    1) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Donald_Trump_sexual_misconduct...

    • Right.. the credulousness of these people is insane. “I can’t believe the guy who said he liked to sneak backstage at the Miss Teen USA pageant and bragged about grabbing women by the pussy would assault someone!”

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    • >you have to disregard at least 26 [1] public allegations of rape if you want to give him a pass,

      Allegations mean little, and for celebrities they tend to pile up proportionate to their fame. We live in a society that has absolutely no disincentives for false allegations of rape, and that has only grown more true the last few decades.

      Instead of disregarding 26 allegations, one has to wonder why anyone would regard them in the first place. Furthermore, for many people, their regard/disregard is highly selective and comes down to the politics of the accused.

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  • Here's a list of people who are both famous and polarizing, along with their number of credible claims of sexual assault.

    1. Elon Musk - 1

    2. Donald Trump - 26

    3. Kanye West - 0 known

    4. Greta Thunberg - 0 known

    5. Joe Rogan - 0 known

    6. Jordan Peterson - 0 known

    7. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez - 0 known

    8. Andrew Tate - < 10

    9. Vladimir Putin- 0 known

    10. Mark Zuckerberg - 0 known

    The idea that just being famous and polarizing attracts false allegations, is false.

    • There is no incentive to make up allegations against most of those people. But if you make up a false allegation against a presidential candidate, it could cost him the election and move national politics in the direction you favor. How many allegations did Trump have against him before vs. after running for president?

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    • I think your argument is spot on, but there is important context which can be revealed by doing the same list for assassination attempts. Trump is qualitatively different from these other people - it just isn't because he is famous and polarising.

      And Vladamir Putin (0), seriously? Good luck to anyone who attempts to make a public accusation against him. There will be a fatal fall through a window in their future. He could have raped 200 women and nobody would say a thing.