Comment by submeta
1 year ago
Many past technologies have defied “it’s flattening out” predictions. Look at Personal computing, the internet, and smartphone technology.
By conflating technology’s evolving development path with a basic exponential decay function, the analogy overlooks the crucial differences in how innovation actually happns.
> Many past technologies have defied “it’s flattening out” predictions.
And many haven't
everything you listed was subject to the effects of Moore's Law, explaining their trajectories, but Moore's Law doesn't apply AI in any way. And it's dead.