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Comment by maxglute

8 days ago

https://www.ft.com/content/fba87dd3-514a-41c2-b2b9-ea597ffbd...

https://www.hudsonbaycapital.com/documents/FG/hudsonbay/rese...

The TLDR is Miran sold to Trump US can Plaza Accord everyone, devalue USD to reindustrialize US, draw down US debt/commitments, keep exorbitant privelege... all by slapping tariffs (Trump's fav hammer) to scare countries into signing (converting) existing US commitments to "century bonds" in US favour while tying them to US orbit for foreseeable future. Is US strong enough to coerce others to sign on? IMO doesn't matter, this seems like plan specifically tailered to Trump preferences and ego, so as long as Trump thinks so Miran gets the job.

E: there is logic to the plan, logic that appeals to Trump -> US strength and monetary manipulation skills can force others to fall in line. And TBH countries have fallen in line in the past.

Yeah that’s not going to work. America is about to find out that the era of bully pulpit is over. Why work with a recalcitrant and quite frankly obnoxious US when you can cut bilateral EU/Asian deals?