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Comment by lwhi

8 days ago

I thought the US gov is hoping that debt is relinquished as part of negotiations, is that not the case?

That's a crazy showertought. WH might actually consider it.

After hypothetical successful debt relinquish negotiations, any new US debt would have similar interest rate to Argentinian debt, 30% or so. Wall Street would shrink and London (or Frankfurt) would become new global financial center.

In reality, countries do just as what they do now. They raise counter-tariffs. The US faces coutertariffs from everyone. Other countries only from the US. Trade between countries other increase and they gradually adjust. Europeans start buying less iPhones and buy more Androids made in South Korea. Less Fords more Nissan.

  • > Europeans start buying less iPhones

    I wonder... they're all made in China anyway. And shipped from there directly, not through the US. I'm sure that either the US tariffs won't apply to them, or Apple will shuffle some subsidiaries so they don't.