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Comment by rafaelmn

15 days ago

> What incentive does a company have to move a billion dollar facility to the USA when it will face reciprocal tariffs on any exported goods from the USA?

Access to the richest single market in the world ?

> Access to the richest single market in the world ?

How long do they stay the richest single market in the world if rest of the global world are producing and trading at greater efficiency while the US are facing large short term supply disruptions, higher costs and reciprocal trading tariffs on their exports?

  • The majority of countries have a negative birth rate. The US is doing "OK" (stopping immigration is why I put it in quotes).

    This is going to catch up to most countries very soon. The US will be in a small group of the ones last standing.

    • If the US is planning on stopping the thing that made them OK in the first place, why do you think they would be OK after?

      That’s also before you get into the fact that stopping immigration into the US doesn’t make those people disappear * , they’ll immigrate to other countries or stay home may very well cause some countries with a declining population to stop or reverse that trend

      * Not en masse anyways, that’s come later as more of a final solution

      2 replies →

    • How do you think economic turmoil is going to affect the birth rate in the US and how do you justify labelling a birth rate that's been below replacement for 18 years as "OK"?

      7 replies →

    • I might die on this take. But you guys really think birth rate is some magic.

      India has an overpopulation issue. In India, we literally have more people than jobs. So you guys could just tap into India.

      China is also similar, except it has outgrown its master. So I can understand the mistrust. But america put tariffs on India as well which is just ... funny.

      Also if america really falls into a recession (60% chance, like I mentioned in my other comment), how much do you think the US would be doing "OK"

      I think what the US is right now, is failed democracy. I mean, I used to hate my government, but it was because of their political views/ I just felt that a tiny change in the Indian system is needed (like Media , incentives for middle class), I have hope in India. India can truly change if need be.

      I have no hope for america.

      1 reply →

    • I don't think quotes are the appropriate modifier to adjust for the damage from draconian and short-sighted immigration policy. Past tense use of the verb is probably more appropriate since countries are issuing do-not-travel warnings against the US (for the first time ever?). This administration is arrogant fools all the way down. I hope the messages sent by the electorate in 2026 and 2028 are loud enough and the brain drain is still reversible.

      1 reply →

But that only works if you compare the US with other single countries. The EEA is similar to the US, China will be larger than the US, India will be larger than the US. Any of those combine and you loose by a factor of 2, etc

  • EEA, despite decades of EU efforts, is not a single market. China and India are nowhere near in terms of purchasing power or individual consumption and won't be for decades.

    • > EEA, despite decades of EU efforts, is not a single market.

      Huh? It really is. There's free trade and free movement of labour. How is it not a single market?

      10 replies →

    • Not currently in Germany.

      amazon.de click 28cm lightweight bike wheel click Order click.

      Well what do you know, you're a big fat liar :)

Tariffs aren't bans. They still have access to the US market, US consumers are just forced to pay higher taxes for these goods.

If these tariffs continue for 30 years, it's hard to know if we'd still be the largest single market in the world.