Comment by reverendsteveii
16 days ago
How do you think economic turmoil is going to affect the birth rate in the US and how do you justify labelling a birth rate that's been below replacement for 18 years as "OK"?
16 days ago
How do you think economic turmoil is going to affect the birth rate in the US and how do you justify labelling a birth rate that's been below replacement for 18 years as "OK"?
We're already seeing the effects. Many people don't feel secure enough in their finances, or confident enough in the future they'd be bringing children into to have kids. As far as I can tell things will only get worse long before they even have a chance to get better.
If the 1930s are any example, war will follow, then a baby boom after the war
I wonder if the baby boom depends on who wins the war. If people are happy about the outcome, their finances are improving, and they are full of hope for the future it'd be easy to start families. If people aren't happy with the outcome, if they are suffering, if they have to live under more restrictions or a worse economy I doubt as many people will be comfortable bringing children into the world.
The problem with that line of reasoning is we are now in the nuclear age. After a major nuclear war, there will likely be no humans to have babies.
a war would likely involve nukes.
Please brother, don't make me imagine a world war with nukes. The whole world is going to collapse, It would take us atleast three century back and it would be the darkest chapter ever.
I think there are some really smart people in the world. We can use them to create beautiful discoveries. Seriously, it sends me shivers thinking of a world war, but it may happen, and I have no control over it. I have to just watch the world wither away.
I'm in that group. The thing is China already crossed that rubicon 20+ years ago. So the US only really needs to outlast China in this regard. It will create problems of its own and pro America people like Peter Zeihan argue that large generations create more large generations. Boomers -> Millenials -> Gen Alpha. I dont fully buy this though.
Their population pyramid looks good though compared to China:
https://www.populationpyramid.net/united-states-of-america/2...
https://www.populationpyramid.net/china/2024/
Check back in a few years, right now its good, and we wont see results for at least a few years:
https://www.populationpyramid.net/united-states-of-america/2...
>how do you justify labelling a birth rate that's been below replacement for 18 years as "OK"?
The US being a nation of immigrants has this unique selling point of attracting people to make up for their woes such as birth rate. Unless we see millions of citizens getting deported, the people "voluntarily" relocating don't move the needle in this metric.