← Back to context

Comment by qgin

11 days ago

Given what’s likely to happen with with AI and robotics over the next 10 years, all this debate about bringing back manufacturing jobs is pretty silly

There is no technological path to AGI, much less intelligent robots, in the next 10 years. Everyone underestimates the massive amount of parallel processing going on in a single human brain. That doesn't even consider how massive the sensor array is. The doublings required for our artificial technology to catch up is about 25-35 years, maybe more depending on how much Moore's Law slows down.

  • > The doublings required for our artificial technology to catch up is about 25-35 years, maybe more depending on how much Moore's Law slows down.

    "A technology that is '20 years away' will be 20 years away indefinitely."

    https://m.xkcd.com/678/