Comment by ksec

Sometimes I see in certain areas AI / LLM is absolutely crushing those jobs, a whole category will be gone in next 5 to 10 years as they are already 80 - 90% mark. They just need another 5 - 10% as they continue to get improvement and they are already cheaper per task.

Sometimes I see an area of AI/LLM that I thought even with 10x efficiency improvement and 10x hardware resources which is 100x in aggregate it will still be no where near good enough.

The truth is probably somewhere in the middle. Which is why I dont believe AGI will be here any time soon. But Assisted Intelligence is no doubt in its iPhone moment and continue for another 10 years before hopefully another breakthrough.