Comment by jongjong
3 months ago
I was already a bit of an amateur conspiracy theorist before LLMs. The key to staying sane is to understand that most of the mass group behaviors we observe in society are rooted in ignorance and confusion. Large scale conspiracies are actually a confluence of different agendas and ideologies not a singular nefarious agenda and ideology.
You have to be able to hold multiple conflicting ideas in your head at the same time with an appropriate level of skepticism. Confidence is the root of evil. You can never be 100% sure of anything. It's really easy to convince LLMs of one thing and also its opposite if you phrase the arguments differently and prime it towards slightly different definitions of certain key words.
Some agendas are nefarious, some not so nefarious, some people intentionally let things play out in order to set a trap for their adversaries. There are always risks and uncertainties. 'Bad actors' are those who trade off long term benefits for short term rewards through the use of varying degrees of deception.
I feel like forces such as globalization have significantly extended the shelf life of 'short term rewards' for bad actors but I think ultimately, the debt will have to be repaid. Advantages were a tradeoff, not a gift.