Comment by sethammons
21 days ago
textbook survivorship bias https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Survivorship_bias
every bullet hole in that plane is the 1k PRs contributed by copilot. The missing dots, and whole missing planes, are unaccounted for. Ie, "ai ruined my morning"
It's not survivorship bias. Survivorship bias would be if you made any conclusions from the 1000 merged PRs (eg. "90% of all merged PRs did not get reverted"). But simply stating the number of PRs is not that.
As with all good marketing, the conclusions omitted and implied, no?
The implied conclusion ("Copilot made 1000 changes to the codebase") is also not survivorship bias.
By that logic, literally every statement would be survivorship bias.
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Given that Github is continuing with the product and marketing to us it feels sufficient to count that as a conclusion.
If they measured that too it would make it harder to justify a MSFT P/E ratio of 29.6.