Comment by rsanheim

We will have the equivalent of Claude Sonnet 4 in a local LLM that can run well on a modern Mac w/ 36+ GB of ram in a year or two. Maybe faster. The local/open models are developing very fast in terms of quantization and how well they can run on consumer hardware.

Folks that are local LLMs everyday now will probably say you can basically emulate at least Sonnet 3.7 for coding if you have an real AI workstation. Which may be true, but the time and effort and cost involved is substantial.