Comment by deltaburnt
5 days ago
I think we will end up with significantly more developer B and significantly less developer A. I can't see the future, I don't know how that would play out long term, maybe it will all even out. But I think in the medium term it will be a lot of headaches for someone like me who spends a significant amount of time reviewing code and steering architecture.
Also, I spend a lot of time mentoring, and I'd like to think A will grow to be more like B over time. But now it feels like it's wasted effort to try mentoring those skills if it won't be valued.
I definitely think that there will be a far higher % of B than A in the future, but I also think it's accurate to say that the ratio of A:B was much higher in the 70s than now, even though there's a lot more A in absolute terms today. That's just what happens when you lower the barrier to entry.
There's definitely a cohort of on average much lower quality CS graduates though, between COVID and universities not knowing how to deal with AI (I say this as part of that cohort).