← Back to context

Comment by wpietri

4 days ago

Thanks! If I can make it I will. (The pinball museum project is sucking up a lot of my time as we get toward launch. You should come by!)

I think that is one interesting question that I'll want to answer before adoption on my projects, but it definitely isn't the only one.

And maybe the hype cycle will get worse and maybe it won't. Like The Economist, I'm starting to see a turn. The amount of money going into LLMs generally is unsustainable, and I think OpenAI's recent raise is a good example: round 11, $40 billion dollar goal, which they're taking in tranches. Already the largest funding round in history, and it's not the last one they'll need before they're in the black. I could easily see a trough of disillusionment coming in the next 18 months. I agree programming tools could well have a lot of innovation over the next few years, but if that happens against a backdrop of "AI" disillusionment, it'll be a lot easier to see what they're actually delivering.