Comment by johnrob
1 month ago
I see 100x used quite a bit related to LLM productivity. It seems extreme because it implies one could generate a year’s worth of value in a few days. I would think delivering features involves too much non coding work for this to be possible.
But that’s precisely what I’m saying is that what I can do today by myself in a couple of days would have taken me a year with a team of three people
The key limiting factor to any project as somebody else in this thread said was “people alignment are the number one hindrance in project speed”
So 10 years ago if I wanted to make a web application that does complex shit I’d have to go and hire a handful of experts have them coordinate, manage the coordination of it, deliver it, monitor it everything else all the way through ideation storyboarding and everything else
I can do 100% of that myself now, now it’s true I could’ve done 100% of myself previously, but again it took a year of side effort to do it
If 100x was really possible, it would be instantly, undeniably obvious to everyone. There would be no need for people alignment because one lone developer could crank out basically anything less complicated than an OS in a month.
It is starting to become obvious to more and more people. And is it really that hard to believe that a tool can extend your natural abilities by 2 orders of magnitude but not everyone can instantly use it? If fact you’re using one right now. Your computer or phone can do many things orders of magnitude faster than you can do alone, but only until recently most people had no idea how to use computers and could not benefit from this power.
I believe with LLM’s were set to relive the same phenomenon again.
5 replies →
Sorry, I call bs, unless you were very poor developer without any skills to manage people.
[dead]