Comment by MostlyStable
3 days ago
I am extremely skeptical of that 1000 year estimate. It is almost entirely depending on the assumption of the continuous energy increase of 2% per year every year, for the next 1000 years, and that tidal energy remains 1% of that total the entire time.
I think that those assumptions are wrong in multiple ways and that reasonable estimates of the amount of tidal energy that could be extracted would lead to time scales where the risk no longer becomes relevant.
Yeah, the "2% growth forever" feels like a sneaky addition which is extremely controversial in economic theory: if endless growth is required. 1.02 ** 1000 ~= 400,000,000. So if the world population continued to grow at 2% in those same 1000 years, there'd be 2.8 quintillion people. Evenly distributed over the planet (water included), each person would get a square 1.35 centimeters on a side.