Comment by thesz

  > What they overestimated was the ability of LLMs to provide real productivity gains on a given task.

This is exactly my point.

This is not about the ability of LLM overestimated by developers, this is about the ability of developer interacting with LLM overestimated by developers themselves, economic experts and ML experts.

LLMs are not "able" per se, they are "prompted" to be "able." They are not agents, but behave as agents on someone's behalf - and no one have a clue whether use of LLMs is positive or detrimental, with the bias being "LLM's use is net positive".

The overestimation of LLM's abilities by everyone calls for Dunning-Kruger.