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Comment by danie123

6 hours ago

Humans certainly can get gold at IMO: the threshold is chosen each year such that around 8% of students get it. So about 50 students (worldwide) per year are awarded it. Also note that the competition is only for students who are still in school.

Getting a gold is considered very impressive, but there are certainly plenty of humans in the world who can solve problems at that level, and even more so if you relax the time constraints of it being a competition environment. If you include people who are too old to be eligible for IMO, then there are maybe around 1,000-100,000 people in the world who could get a gold at IMO (the large range is because I think this quantity is quite hard to estimate).

Another important thing to bear in mind is that research mathematics is quite different to competition mathematics, so it is quite tricky to tell how good these AIs will be at research maths.

There does seem to be a fairly strong correlation between excelling at competition and research mathematics respectively. The question remains whether this correlation generalizes to nonhuman cognition.