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Comment by p1esk

7 months ago

I don’t actually, did he specify a year? He made a lot of predictions, many are wrong, but the AGI one is pretty amazing.

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p1esk

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saagarjha  7 months ago

2020s was my understanding; he made this prediction around the time that he made the AGI one. I think he has recently pushed it back to 2030s because it seems unlikely to come true.

godelski  7 months ago 

  > many are wrong, but the AGI one is pretty amazing.

If you make enough predictions eventually one will be right

Or at least one will be exciting