Comment by Eisenstein
10 days ago
It's not like blockchain. Blockchain legitimately made things slower and less useful for dubious benefits.
AI is more like the early web. There is definite value that people can see, but no one really knows how to monetize beyond the incredibly obvious 'sell people access to it', so everyone is throwing spaghetti at the wall waiting for it to stick. When someone gets it to stick, there will be a giant amount of money coming at them, but until then there will be a ton of people with sauce all over their faces looking like idiots.
Upvoted to save you from the negatives because I too am tired of seeing the comparison to blockchain. I'm not sure where it even comes from other than just being another recent hype train people remember, but blockchain settled into a relatively tiny niche. The most basic deployment of LLMs / AI by comparison is instantly, obviously more useful than that.
As soon as it starts returning to me factual, confirm-able answers consistently. Then I'll use it. I just had to fix something a co-worker fucked up by asking ai how to do it. The responses are so confidently wrong it's like watching Kash Patel tell me that Jeffrey Epstein killed himself.
> As soon as it starts returning to me factual, confirm-able answers consistently. Then I'll use it.
Humans don't behave this way. Yet, we still employ humans. AI is unreliable. We all agree. But that does not make it useless.
Ok, how about: Once AI is less overconfident than a median teammate, it may be worth something. It's not there yet.
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That's why we introduced computers. If they aren't reliable anymore we can stop using them.