Comment by riazrizvi
4 months ago
People, professionals, aren’t so stationary. You’re saying that this line on the asymptote is the threshold where incentives die. But the old axes need to be adjusted for new broader possibility. As long as professionals stay ahead of non-professionals by riding the same tools, to keep their position on the boundary of expertise, they will be in demand.
Better to do that by not sharing how as much (source code), but rather what (interactive demos).
People, professionals, aren't so stationary.
You are right, they will do something, and that something will become violent when the rule of order breaks down as a result of these basic underlying aspects.
People aren't static, but neither are they so dynamic that they can learn exponentially, expertise which took education and years to learn cannot compete with free, and lets remember people age and die, and expertise is only gained by doing the job the first rung on that experience ladder. The nature of the asymptote that people fail to realize is, the asymptote isn't at its given value when you see the whole, it trails off as it approaches certain points exponentially. Sometimes to infinity.
You can't compete with slavery, and in the case of AI, you have a digital facsimile of a person that is a slave being used by people that don't have that knowledge. It may be able to go on just long enough that there won't be any experts left by the time everything starts breaking down (which happens frighteningly quickly, typically within 10 years).
There is a train, its on tracks and those tracks go over a cliff, but that cliff is around the bend, and no one knows someone's switched the route to over that cliff, they didn't notice. The conductor keeps feeding the fuel, full steam ahead, and what happens with mass is you have inertia and between the end of the tracks and the rocky shore below? Trains don't stop on a dime.
Its an asymptote, and the nature of cascading failures is that by the time the average person realizes you have a problem, there isn't anything you can do to fix it, that is the difference between average and intelligent, and likewise the average person can't avoid the outcome because the lag and the time to react don't provide a window to change it; its already passed, its hysteresis, and its a bitch.