Comment by TylerE
2 days ago
Most questions you could guess a number somewhere vaguely near 50% and be right a substantial amount of the time given such massive error bars.
2 days ago
Most questions you could guess a number somewhere vaguely near 50% and be right a substantial amount of the time given such massive error bars.
Thats a common fallacy because we tend to care about issues that are 50/50 or divisive. Most opinions are not divisive but thus dont get attention.
That seems like an implied constraint? You don't run polls asking if the sky is blue.
Quite often the sky is in fact not blue.