Comment by DirkH

Rationalists and effective altruism have reasoning under uncertainty as cornerstones of their respective movements.

There is an entire philosophical theory called deep cluelessness which is far more nuanced than just "unsure" which was built on by an Oxford EA philosopher.

I personally know multiple people in the movement who say they are deeply clueless on matters where they can altogether affect where hundreds of thousands of dollars under their care is directed.

And guess what, it does give them pause and they don't just follow some weird entirely untested or nonsense set of axioms. They consider second order effects, backfire risk and even hedging interventions in case their worldview is incorrect. All this careful reasoning I just never ever see in any any other social movement that has money it can direct where there is clear uncertainty with how best to allocate it.