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Comment by hiAndrewQuinn

1 day ago

You're right in a sense, but I took the context we're working in as somewhat of a given based on the title of the post. Our goal is to work, full time, as a professional pure mathematician; that naturally puts us in the labor market for pure mathematicians. We can't know that market exactly, of course, but it's far from arbitrary. We are in competition with other market participants, and we can study their properties and use that knowledge to guide our actions productively - including making the decision to exit the market if that's what makes sense to us.

> Our goal is to work, full time, as a professional pure mathematician; that naturally puts us in the labor market for pure mathematicians. We can't know that market exactly, of course[...]

For what it's worth, my classmates from college who have completed PhDs, based their postgrad career decisions on completely different factors – mostly their families and partners, and whether they're willing to move around (especially to rural areas) to target an extremely shrinking academic job pool.

EDIT: example that came to mind – I had a classmate who postdoc'd at Chicago, who decided to stay in town and work in finance rather than pursue some tenure-track offers at R1s, because his young one went to a prestigious UChicago Lab School and didn't want to uproot her.