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Comment by rhetocj23

7 days ago

"I suppose the big advantage of being more “productive” is that you can churn through more wrong ideas more quickly and thus perhaps improve your chances of stumbling across something that is valuable."

But I think there is a very big danger here - you build in the action but completely neglect the deep thinking behind a vision, strategy etc.

So yes you produce more stuff. But that stuff means more money spent - which is generally a sunk cost too.

In a bizarre way, I predict we will see the failure rate of software firms rise. Despite the fact these 'productivity' tools exist.

Yeah, I mean, you might be right. As others have commented, I think it's simply very hard to say what gains we're really going to see from AI-assisted software development at present.

And then of course there's the question of how many businesses have their key value proposition rendered obsolete, and to what extent it's rendered obsolete, by AI: doesn't have to be completely nullified for them to fail (which obviously applies to some software companies, but goes far beyond that sector).