Comment by smcin

I said Polymarket doesn't give an objective neutral verdict-of-the-crowd at some moments, since their markets are still fairly small and can be moved short-term by whale trades.

An example is how volatile their markets are on Fed rate decisions; sometimes you see serious short-term disagreement or contrarianism between individual markets:

https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2025

https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-october

https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-december