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Comment by wmf

13 hours ago

The latest xAI GPU SPV is 2/3 debt; maybe that's a trend or maybe not. The debt will be defaulted and the equity will be recapitalized to almost nothing. Same outcome.

That is interesting because bubble debt is a lot more hazardous and more likely to cause a recession than bubble equity is, hence all the rules on lenders around Capital Adequacy, Liquidity, and Risk Management/Supervision for which no analog exists for equity investors.

  • Do those rules apply to private credit and sovereign wealth?

    • Probably not. They might apply only to banks and even then only banks subject to EU or Anglosphere jurisidiction.