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Comment by musebox35

9 hours ago

While I agree with the general sentiment on throwaway compute infra, the generated know-how with large scale experiments is not thrown away. I think a lot hinges on the scaling laws and whether you will hit the jackpot at a certain scale before everyone else. This is hard to guesstimate so someone has to do it in the spirit of empiricism. This might sound a lot like gambling or exploring depending on your sentiment. So, I think it is more justified to criticize the scale and the risks than the spirit of these investments.

While scaling laws are only empirical curve fitting and extrapolation, none of them predict a discontinuous "jackpot effect."