Comment by estimator7292
3 months ago
It's solved for low power cooling.
We do not have a solution for getting rid of megawatts or gigawatts of heat in space.
What the sibling comment is pointing out is that you cannot simply scale up any and every technology to any problem scale. If you want to get rid of megawatts of heat with our current technology, you need to ship up several tons of radiators and then build massive kilometer-scale radiation panels. The only way to dump heat in space is to let a hot object radiate infrared light into the void. This is an incredibly slow and inefficient process, which is directly controlled by the surface area of your radiator.
The amount of radiators you need for a scheme like this is entirely out of the question.
They literally have a solution, it's a trivial one and described in the paper. I'll try to paraphrase the whole thing, because apparently no one read it.
1. Take existing satellite designs like Starlink, which obviously manage to utilize certain amount of power successfully, meaning they solved both collection and heat rejection.
2. Pick one, swap out its payload for however many TPUs it can power instead. Since TPUs aren't an energy source, the solar/thermal calculation does not change. Let X be the compute this gives you.
3. Observe that thermal design of a satellite is independent from whether you launch 1 or 10000 of them. Per point 2, thermals for one satellite are already solved, therefore this problem is boring and not worth further mention. Instead, go find some X that's enough to give a useful unit of scaling for compute.
4. Play with some wacky ideas about formations to improve parameters like bandwidth, while considering payload-specific issues like radiation hardening, NONE OF WHICH HAVE ANY IMPACT ON THERMALS[0]. This is the interesting part. Publish it as a paper.
5. Have someone make a press release about the paper. A common mistake.
6. Watch everyone get hung up on the press release and not bother clicking through to the actual paper.
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[0] - Well, some do. Note that fact in the paper.