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Comment by xyzzy123

12 hours ago

The promise of AI is that it lets you "skip the drudgery of thinking about the details" but sometimes that is exactly what you don't want. You want one or more humans with experience in the business domain to demonstrate they have thought about the details very carefully. The spreadsheet computes a result but its higher purpose is a kind of "proof" this thinking was done.

If the actual thinking doesn't matter and you just need some plausible numbers that look the part (also a common situation), gen ai will do that pretty well.

We need to stop using AI as an umbrella term. It’s worth remembering that LLMs can’t play chess and that the best chess models like Leela Chess Zero use deep neutral networks.

Generative AI - which the world now believes is AI, is not the same as predictive / analytical AI.

It’s fairly easy to demonstrate this by getting ChatGPT to generate a new relatively complex spreadsheet then asking it to analyze and make changes to the same spreadsheet.

The problem we have now is uninformed people believing AI is the answer to everything… if not today then in the near future. Which makes it more of a religion than a technology.

Which may be the whole goal …

> Successful people create companies. More successful people create countries. The most successful people create religions.

— Sam Altman - https://blog.samaltman.com/successful-people

  • Ok yep, fair. My comment was about using copilot-ish tech to generate plausible looking spreadsheets.

    The kind of things that a domain expert Brenda knows that ChatGPT doesn't know (yet) are like:

    There are 3 vendors a, b, c who all look similar on paper but vendor c always tacks on weird extra charges that take a lot of angry phone calls to sort out.

    By volume or weight it looks like you could get 100 boxes per truck but for industry specific reasons only 80 can legally be loaded.

    Hyper specific details about real estate compliance in neighbouring areas that mean buildings that look similar on paper are in fact very different.

    A good Brenda can understand the world around her as it actually is, she is a player in it and knows the "real" rules rather than operating from general understanding and what people have bothered to write down.