Comment by LogicFailsMe
1 day ago
This year, the wild variance in hourly weather reports on my phone has really been something. I attributed it to likely budget cuts as a result of DOGE, but if those forecasts came from Google itself the whole time, all is clear now.
I find that unlikely, my forecasts for much of Europe and East Asia have been consistently accurate.
How do DOGE implemented budget cuts affect European or East Asian forecasts? Those are not the forecasts that someone suspecting departmental DOGEing to be a fault.
If the US does less data gathering (balloon starts, buoy maintenance, setting up weather huts in super remote sites, etc.) it will affect all forecasts.
Models all use a "current world state" of all sensors available to bootstrap their runs.
Similar thing happened during the beginning of Covid-19: they are using modified cargo/passenger planes to gather weather data during their routine trips. Suddenly this huge data source was gone (but was partially replaced by the experimental ADM-Aeolus satellite - which turned out to be a huge global gamer changer due to its unexpected high quality data)
But GP said they only USED TO blame DOGE, and blame Google now?
Yeah... So you know that's not the United States right? Though judging by the down votes, it's quite triggering for some and I can't say which side when I pivot from blaming DOGE to blaming bad AI. Curious(tm)...
And I say that as a huge fan of AI, but being vocally self-critical is an important attribute for professional success in AI and elsewhere.