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Comment by bryanlarsen

1 day ago

China will invade Taiwan when they start losing, not when they're increasingly winning.

As long as "tomorrow" is a better day to invade Taiwan than today is, China will wait for tomorrow.

Their demographics beg to differ.

  • If demographics were a big deal, it'd be part of the same "better to invade today or tomorrow" calculation.

    Zeihan's predictions on China have been fabulously wrong for 20+ years now.