Comment by yawpitch
12 hours ago
You’re assuming we, as a species, have the wherewithal, resources, and attention span necessary to both try again and try to surpass.
We haven’t even set another foot on the moon during my lifetime, and we’re not factually any closer to doing so. We have allowed a military industrial complex to keep making money by over-designing and under-delivering over and over and over for a population with constantly dwindling wherewithal, resources, and attention span.
I am neither an optimist nor a pessimist, I am a realist… and the real odds decrease with every passing moment.
We keep sending out probes. Another fast one gets cheaper over time, even. One random billionaire or less could fund one.
If and when a random N-ionaire actually does so, and their probe is both actually moving faster and resilient enough to be responding long enough to track, we’ll talk.
The odds we could surpass Voyager aren’t shrinking, the odds we will are.
You don't think getting cheaper increases the odds?
To me it seems like the odds are close enough to 100 that it's hard to claim a trend. If you asked me mid cold war I might have said there's significant risk we all die first, but not so much now.