Comment by pdimitar

Huh? Only thing I noticed during COVID was a few GPUs and some HDDs getting insanely expensive. Surprise surprise, not even 18 months later (I think more like 14 on my local market) the sellers finally got it through their thick skulls that economy is not what you see in simulations and that 95% of people absolutely will not pay ~$4000 for an RTX 3090 / 4090. And similar for the 18TB HDDs.

I am not saying you are wrong but here in Eastern Europe, while we did suffer the price hikes (and are suffering those of the DDR5 RAM now as well), the impact was minimal. People just holed up, said "the market's crazy right now, let's wait it out", and shrugged. And lo and behold, successfully wait it out they did.

As I mentioned in another comment in this thread, I highly doubt high RAM prices will survive even to 2027. Sure a good amount of stores and suppliers will try to hold on to the prices with a death grip... but many stores and vendors and suppliers hate stale stock. And some other new tech will start coming out. They would not be able to tolerate shelves full of merchandise at prices people don't want to buy at.

They absolutely _will_ budge.

I predict that by July/August 2026 some price decreases will start. They are likely to be small -- no more than 15% IMO -- but they will start.

The current craze of "let's only produce and sell to the big boys" has happened before, happens now, and will happen again. I and many others don't believe the hysteric "the market will never be the same again after" narrative either.