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Comment by IshKebab

12 hours ago

> different developers on HN have very different jobs and skill levels.

Definitely this. When I use AIs for web development they do an ok job most of the time. Definitely on par with a junior dev.

For anything outside of that they're still pretty bad. Not useless by any stretch, but it's still a fantasy to think you could replace even a good junior dev with AI in most domains.

I am slightly worried for my job... but only because AI will keep improving and there is a chance it will be as good as me one day. Today it's not a threat at all.

Yea, LLMs produce results on par with what I would expect out of a solid junior developer. They take direction, their models act as the “do the research” part, and they output lots of code: code that has to be carefully scrutinized and refined. They are like very ambitious interns who never get tired and want to please, but often just produce crap that has to be totally redone or refactored heavily in order to go into production.

If you think LLMs are “better programmers than you,” well, I have some disappointing news for you that might take you a while to accept.

  • > LLMs produce results on par with what I would expect out of a solid junior developer

    This is a common take but it hasn't been my experience. LLMs produce results that vary from expert all the way to slightly better than markov chains. The average result might be equal to a junior developer, and the worst case doesn't happen that often, but the fact that it happens from time to time makes it completely unreliable for a lot of tasks.

    Junior developers are much more consistent. Sure, you will find the occasional developer that would delete the test file rather than fixing the tests, but either they will learn their lesson after seeing your wth face or you can fire them. Can't do that with llms.

    • I think any further discussion about quality just needs to have the following metadata:

      - Language

      - Total LOC

      - Subject matter expertise required

      - Total dependency chain

      - Subjective score (audited randomly)

      And we can start doing some analysis. Otherwise we're pissing into ten kinds of winds.

      My own subjective experience is earth shattering at webapps in html and css (because I'm terrible and slow at it), and annoyingly good but a bit wrong usually in planning and optimization in rust and horribly lost at systems design or debugging a reasonably large rust system.

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    • I can in fact fire an LLM. It's even easier than firing a junior developer.

      Or rather, it's more like a contractor. If I don't like the job they did, I don't give them the next job.