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Comment by spullara

20 hours ago

I'm sure there is a Polymarket for you to bet against FSD that I use to drive 99% of the time.

I don't personally want to get into that kind of betting, but in theory...

If I had bet that purchasable Teslas wouldn't have level 3 or level 4 driving by 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, and 2025 I would have won every single one of those bets.

FSD is improving, but they finally put "supervised" in the name for a reason. It's a feature-packed level 2. That doesn't meet the bar.

  • 3, no?

    • Level 3 lets you ignore the road until the car beeps at you, at which point you have a few seconds to get ready to take over.

      FSD is level 2. You have to be constantly on the lookout.

One would be crazy to bet on that on Polymarket. They had a bet for Tesla Robotaxi rollout before end of 2025 and it resolved to YES. So it must be like your FSD - Tesla is apparently already operating a general public access autonomus Robotaxi, maybe even 50% of the US population like the CEO said.

?? Tesla have never manufactured a single car. They simply don’t exist. Just like those rockets that don’t exist. It’s all just CGI.