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Comment by spullara

1 day ago

I'm sure there is a Polymarket for you to bet against FSD that I use to drive 99% of the time.

One would be crazy to bet on that on Polymarket. They had a bet for Tesla Robotaxi rollout before end of 2025 and it resolved to YES. So it must be like your FSD - Tesla is apparently already operating a general public access autonomus Robotaxi, maybe even 50% of the US population like the CEO said.

I don't personally want to get into that kind of betting, but in theory...

If I had bet that purchasable Teslas wouldn't have level 3 or level 4 driving by 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, and 2025 I would have won every single one of those bets.

FSD is improving, but they finally put "supervised" in the name for a reason. It's a feature-packed level 2. That doesn't meet the bar.

  • 3, no?

    • Level 3 lets you ignore the road until the car beeps at you, at which point you have a few seconds to get ready to take over.

      FSD is level 2. You have to be constantly on the lookout.

?? Tesla have never manufactured a single car. They simply don’t exist. Just like those rockets that don’t exist. It’s all just CGI.