← Back to context

Comment by bossyTeacher

2 months ago

Playing devil's advocate here. My main take with the responses here is that the naysayers are assuming that the current capabilities of models will remain fixed for the next 1-2 decades which is questionable. They are saying that AI (now or in the future) won't eat a good chunk of my career opportunities because AI now isn't good now. That's the wrong viewpoint.

My views:

- Developers are expensive

- Most development isn't that hard or that creative

- LLMs can already do some of the sub tasks that the above kind of development entails

- If the above kind of development disappears, then there is only the harder, creative kind of development left

- Less development jobs and more developers will reduce dev salaries and increase dev competition regardless of the kind of development that you do. Any such change will be fairly slow and gradual

- The 2010s Everyone Can Code era is gone and is not going to come back as a result of the above