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Comment by runtimepanic

4 days ago

Hard to draw conclusions from early reports like this. Situations involving explosions tend to generate a lot of noise before verified facts emerge, especially in politically tense environments. Best to wait for confirmation on cause, scale, and impact before speculating, and hopefully accurate information follows quickly.

Based on the fleet and aircraft movement and mobilization reports, this was probably a combination of 3/75 Ranger Regiment and/or RRC, Delta/CAG, 24th STS, and probably 1 or more SEAL teams based on the sub movement.

The clear fly-out with rotary wing craft seemingly without a concern in the world tells me they absolutely decapitated Venezuela's air defenses.

Their intelligence must have been flawless to have this level of confidence.

This wasn't just a raid, it was an extremely visible one meant to send a message.

Edit: Bloomberg is reporting they captured and extracted Maduro

https://archive.is/2026.01.03-094534/https://www.bloomberg.c...

  • >this was probably a combination of 3/75 Ranger Regiment and/or RRC, Delta/CAG, 24th STS, and probably 1 or more SEAL teams based on the sub movement.

    If you're going to flaunt nerd speak then just say JSOC.

TikTok videos showing Apache helicopters shooting missiles at targets. Lots of planes and helicopters flying over Caracas

  • followup: the little black outlines in the video correspond to helicopter-like objects. I just referred to Apache for some reason, most local memory of an attack helicopter. apparently it's something else

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  • I’m not suggesting it’s “nothing” or minimizing it. Just that in the first hours after explosions, reports are often incomplete or wrong. Past cases show everything from industrial accidents, gas explosions, ammo depots, infrastructure failures, or internal security incidents getting misattributed early on.

    Jumping straight to geopolitical conclusions before verified facts usually adds heat, not clarity. Waiting for confirmation on what actually happened doesn’t excuse anyone’s behavior, it just keeps the discussion grounded in evidence rather than emotion.