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Comment by orbital-decay

3 days ago

Or... nothing will change at all. See the Fordow strike: attack another country, pull out unexpectedly, and pretend nothing ever happened.

Oh, something changed there. Iran's attitude towards nuclear weapons has changed considerably, and none for the better. They're a deal with Pakistan or Russia away from achieving that.

  • Iran was well on that path anyway. The US strike absolutely did turn Iran from a peaceful actor with no interest in nuclear weapons into a regime bent on acquiring nuclear weapons.

    • > no interest in nuclear weapons

      Is that satire or am I confused? Do we actually think any sovereign nation in the world has “no interest in nuclear weapons”?

      1 reply →

Americans have remarkably short attention spans. In 5 years when Iran is widely acknowledged to have nuclear weapons, you’ll know what changed after Fordrow.

  • I've been hearing "Iran is weeks away from a nuke" since the 1980's.

    It's almost like that dude who keeps saying, "FSD in my EVs is just months away."

    • That’s correct. The point is that until now Iran has intentionally not built a nuke - they’ve kept themselves within range to make it a credible threat, but they’ve not completed the project because so far the tacit agreement has been that if they don’t build a nuke, the US doesn’t let the Israelis bomb Tehran.

  • I cant wait for the Monday press conference where the Epstein files are not even brought up again.