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Comment by vdupras

3 days ago

Thank you for articulating this outside of the regular "HN myopia" lenses.

This event will also serve as a measure of how strong China actually is. Venezuela is very important strategically for them, they can't let it slide unless they're weak.

Surely, they won't go as far as direct US confrontation, but if they don't make Venezuela into a death trap for any US soldier being stationed there, one can draw the conclusion that China isn't as strong as many make them (including me, I confess).

But it wouldn't be that surprising if Venezuela turns out being a death trap for any US soldier being stationed there...

Swap China for Russia/Iran and Venezuela for Syria/Yemen if you want an idea how that plays. Spoiler: not well for the proxies.

Without some sort of underlying religious ideology to neutralize being concerned about the likely outcome of hellfires dropped on you from 20k feet if you kill American soldiers, I can’t see many stepping up.

  • In this scenario, why should Venezuelans fighting against US occupiers be labeled as "proxies" for anyone.

    Even if they are aided by others, they would still be fighting for THEIR freedom, in THEIR land.

    (distinguishing the good guys from the baddies becomes easier, when you strip away the fluff)

> This event will also serve as a measure of how strong China actually is.

Chinese intervention in Venezuela is a suicide mission by every rule of warfare. You are surrounded, you have no supply line and you can't amass your material at the front since America is already there.

  • That is why I specifically wrote the words "they won't go as far as direct US confrontation". I refer to China-sponsored guerilla warfare.

    • So, be specific. Do you think Chinese cargo planes are airdropping firearms and ammunition? Supporting the rear with food and water?

      Sending money is nice but Venezuela is blockaded.

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