Comment by poszlem
3 days ago
There are two possibilities. Either we live in a rules-based international order, in which case China would be punished for invading Taiwan. Or we live in a world where power decides outcomes, in which case China would still be punished, this time by the United States, which is arguably still the strongest actor.
Unless, of course, you’re suggesting that Trump effectively gave China the green light. Which is not out of the question, but I would find quite surprising.
With the US being now engaging her Navy in South America more, I am not so sure that America can really match a Blitzkrieg-style invasion, and it is probably not quite able to project enough soft power to get the 'vassal states' to effectively help.
So while I am by no means pro-Taiwan invasion, I do believe that there is a very significant downside wrt China with this move.
N.B. I'm no military wonk or political strategist, far from it. I just call 'em as i see's 'em.
>Unless, of course, you’re suggesting that Trump effectively gave China the green light. Which is not out of the question, but I would find quite surprising.
There's someone else in this thread suggesting that the quid pro quo was exactly that. My brothers in Christ, I am worried.