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Comment by jacquesm

6 days ago

Whether there is a lot of upside or not remains to be seen.

Let's revisit this in five years. That's usually long enough to see where the rocks have landed.

Yeah, I don’t have high confidence guesses on anything anymore. I wish they had a reminder feature here.

  • Going by the historical record the chances of a mess are larger than the chances of a net positive. One thing is for sure: the US reputation abroad just sunk a little lower and it really did not need that.

    • Certainly possible. There are plenty of examples where these sorts of interventions worked for the country we intervened in though. Even in Latin America, which I’ve travelled extensively. I’ve talked to them about it.

      A year ago today I was in Grenada looking at a statue of Reagan. The Grenadians love America (and the older ones love to tell you about it) for our intervention in the 80’s which I was not old enough to remember. They did not want to become another Cuba and we saved them from it.

      South Korea. Japan. Germany. There were some solid wins in our nation building along with the losses.