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Comment by lbourdages

2 days ago

Given Tesla's abysmal track record on keeping their promises I feel like it is justified to dismiss them, at the risk of being surprised if they do make it.

Both of these can be true at the same time:

* Elon has been making wildly exaggerated and over-optimistic claims for a decade and continues to do so

* Tesla has recently made huge strides in capability and has a clear path to full autonomy

And to be fair, many other car companies also promised self driving cars, e.g. Audi in 2014 promising driverless cars by 2016 [1]. It's just that Tesla is still executing on the promise whereas many other carmakers have fizzled out on their ambitions. As the Rodney Brooks article itself mentions,

> As a reminder of how strong the hype was and the certainty of promises that it was just around the corner here is a snapshot of a whole bunch of predictions by major executives from 2017.

[1] https://www.digitalspy.com/tech/a610930/audi-promises-to-del...