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Comment by Nicook

3 days ago

Yeah I am suprised everyone thinks this is necessarily internal. Could equally be related to IL/USA incoming aggression.

I'd at least keep an open mind for a while.

An attack would probably undermine the protests. From a strategy perspective, probably the last thing Israel/USA want to do is give the Iranian regime a common enemy to rally around in the midst of a protest that might plausibly over throw the Iranian regime.

  • > From a strategy perspective, probably the last thing Israel/USA want to do is give the Iranian regime a common enemy to rally around in the midst of a protest that might plausibly over throw the Iranian regime.

    They attacked Iran a little while ago. But now they are playing it cool like a cucumber?

    • There wasn't really any sort of plausible protest movement going on at the time, and the strikes did result in an upswell of regime support in the short term.

      It was advantagous for them to strike when they did, so they did. Its much less advantageous in this moment, so it seems less likely they will now. Or at least not overtly.

      > But now they are playing it cool like a cucumber?

      Well yes. Countries tend to do things they think will make them more powerful. Sometimes that means blowing shit up, but that is not always the right play.