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Comment by catigula

3 days ago

This is definitely wrong, most AI researchers DO NOT agree with LeCun.

Most ML researchers think AGI is imminent.

Where do you get your majority from?

I don't think there is any level of broad agreement right now. There are tons of random camps none of which I would consider to be broadly dominating.

The ones being paid a million dollars a year by OpenAI to say stuff like that, maybe.

The guy who built chatgpt literally said we're 20 years away?

Not sure how to interpret that as almost imminent.

  • > The guy who built chatgpt literally said we're 20 years away?

    20 years away in 2026, still 20 years away in 2027, etc etc.

    Whatever Altman's hyping, that's the translation.

their employment and business opportunities depend on the hype, so they will continue to 'think' that (on xitter) despite the current SOTA of transformers-based models being <100% smarter than >3 year old GPT4, and no revolutionary new architecture in sight.