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Comment by eru

1 day ago

No, not at all.

The result in the original article only applies when there are discrete choices. For stuff you can actually average, more is always better.

Oh, and even with discrete choices (like heads vs tails), if you had to give a distribution and not just a single highest likelihood outcome, and we'd judge you by the cross-entry, then going from one to two is an improvement. And going from odd n to the next even n is an improvement in general in this setting.