Comment by falcor84
16 hours ago
> We should be afraid, they say, making very public comments about “P(Doom)” - the chance the technology somehow rises up and destroys us.
> This has, of course, not happened.
This is so incredibly shallow. I can't think of even a single doomer, who ever claimed that AI will destroy us by now. P(doom) is about the likelihood of it destroying us "eventually". And I haven't seen anything in this post or in any recent developments to make my reduce my own p(doom), which is not close to zero.
Here are some representative values: https://pauseai.info/pdoom
> This has, of course, not happened.
And that's the anthropic fallacy. In the worlds where it has happened, the author is dead.
A very good point too.
Though I personally hope that we'll have enough of a warning to convince people that there is a problem and give us a fighting chance. I grew up on Terminator and would be really disappointed if the AI kills me in an impersonal way.